blah, blah, blah . . .
from time to time i look at SL’s private sim decline and it may seem like i am being negative but numbers are numbers and the vast majority of LL’s revenue comes from SL private tiers
the good news is that SL’s private sim decline is no longer the 8 sims per day that it was in 2012! if that were the case, there would be zero private sims in january of 2020! o_O
i would *think* that there will be some point at which the churn of private estates will achieve homeostasis (homo what?). a time in the future where the number of sims stays somewhat steady
however, who knows what the next thing is that will draw users away from SL (and OpenSim)
perhaps someone will come up with a nifty free 3D shareable, collaborative, and tactile world that isn’t even tied to a viewer or even a browser?
i personally don’t think we will see any noticeable shift to technologies that require 3D glasses with cameras like meta (which is incredibly cool, imo)
i also don’t think any significant advances or price reductions will come from LL that will amount to what we saw in 2006-2008
enough of my ranting and opinions – the chart below speaks clearly
the lines connecting the data points are straight but in reality, there has been much variation between the points and that can be seen in my past charting and with Tyche Shepherd’s SLU posts or using the way back machine with her site
the private monthly tiers in green correspond to the data point to their left (and $4 million a month is real money!)