i can’t help it, i’m like a moth to a flame or a bystander watching the world’s slowest train wreck! =p
every month or so, i plot a graph of SL private sim numbers based on Tyche Shepherd’s excellent GridSurvey.com. i only look at private sims since that comprises the bulk of Second Life’s revenue. Tyche also breaks that down by type of private sim and as of january 14 it is US$4.244 million per month o_O *now that’s walkin’ around cash*
the graph below should be taken with a HUGE grain of salt because it only plots the first two weeks of this year and the average loss of over 4000 private sims in 2013 would only be true if this rate was steady for the year
last year Second Life lost an average of about 8.4 private sims per day for a total of around 2865 sims. i had predicted a loss of 3000 and this year i do predict 4000 with the loss of more educational/non-profits as their discounts expire and the continued awareness of OpenSim as a viable alternative
the improvement of OpenSim both as a application (BulletSim physics and HyperGrid 2+) and as an offering (ie, Kitely’s performance and megaregions at low cost) will attract some people from SL – but that migration is always a painful one and probably isn’t very big
good thing i have a parasol, one day some of that SL sky might actually touch it!